The average US household pays $760–$1,500 extra per year because of Trump's 2026 import tariffs. Enter your actual spending below to find your number in 30 seconds — free, no sign-up.
Enter your approximate monthly household spending in each category. Leave blank if it doesn't apply.
Each spending category has a different proportion of imported goods. Electronics are ~80% imported; groceries are ~17%. We apply the relevant import share to your spending.
Current US tariff rates vary by category and country of origin. We use weighted-average effective rates based on actual import data from the Yale Budget Lab's April 2026 analysis.
Not all tariff costs are passed to consumers — retailers absorb some. We use empirical pass-through coefficients (typically 80–90%) to reflect realistic price increases.
The result: your spending × import share × tariff rate × pass-through = additional dollars your household pays each year because of tariffs.
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Yale Budget Lab (April 2026) estimates that Trump-era import tariffs cost the average US household between $760 and $1,500 per year, with a central estimate around $1,130. Higher-spending households pay more; lower-income households are proportionally harder hit.
Clothing, electronics, toys, and appliances are the hardest-hit categories — these have high import shares (60–80%) and face tariff rates of 20–27%. Groceries are less affected because most US food is domestically produced, though imported produce, coffee, and seafood are impacted.
Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 gives the President authority to impose a baseline tariff of up to 15% to address balance-of-payments emergencies. The current Section 122 tariff is set to expire July 24, 2026 unless Congress extends it. In May 2026, the US Court of International Trade struck it down in a 2-1 ruling — the administration is expected to appeal. Regardless of Section 122's fate, this calculator also covers Section 301 tariffs on Chinese goods and Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum, which operate independently.
Groceries are one of the less-affected categories because roughly 83% of US food is domestically produced. However, imported produce, coffee, seafood, chocolate, and packaged goods from Mexico, Canada, and China are all impacted. On $700/month in groceries, our calculator estimates tariffs add approximately $97/year — or about $8/month.
This is an estimate, not an exact figure. Actual costs depend on the specific brands you buy, where retailers source their products, and whether stores have absorbed part of the tariff cost in their margins. We use peer-reviewed economic methodology from Yale Budget Lab with empirical pass-through coefficients. Results typically fall within ±20% of actual household tariff exposure.
Possibly, but not completely. Section 122 is just one of several tariff mechanisms. Section 301 tariffs on Chinese goods (covering 76 separate product determinations) and Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum operate independently and are not affected by the July 24 deadline. If Section 122 expires, households may see a partial reduction — but the majority of tariff costs will remain. We'll update the calculator immediately when any policy changes take effect.
Yes. The rates in this calculator incorporate Section 301 tariffs on Chinese imports (which represent a large share of US consumer goods — clothing, electronics, toys, appliances), the Section 122 baseline tariffs applied to most other countries, and Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum that flow through to appliances and auto prices.
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